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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.09+2.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+1.44vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+1.75vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.63+0.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08-1.23vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-2.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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3.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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4.75Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 17.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Keiran James Golden | 17.9% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% |
| John Glenn | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 25.7% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 14.3% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% |
| Richard Gleason | 21.1% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.