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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.22vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.88-0.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+0.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.30-1.16vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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3.84George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.81Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.3% | 27.5% | 17.8% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.3% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 17.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.7% | 22.5% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 4.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 38.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 19.3% | 20.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.7% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 22.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.