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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.46vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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3.73George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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3.8Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 37.6% | 27.5% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.9% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 38.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 12.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 21.1% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.9% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.