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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.20vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+0.75vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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2.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.75Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.76George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 38.9% | 26.7% | 18.3% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 22.4% | 16.3% |
| Jack Fisher | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 23.3% | 15.8% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 39.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 21.8% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.