← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.21vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.75vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.28+0.76vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+0.46vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.30-1.12vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
-
3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
-
3.76Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
4.46U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
-
3.88George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
-
2.94University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.9% | 26.6% | 17.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.2% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 18.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.4% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 37.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 21.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.3% | 23.5% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.