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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.75vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.75vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.75George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.77Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.2% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 10.9% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 18.6% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 16.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 12.8% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 16.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.6% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 8.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.