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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.23vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.08vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.30-1.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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2.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.73Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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3.83George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 11.1% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 19.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 38.3% | 26.8% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.8% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 16.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 21.2% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.