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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.83vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.30+1.72vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+0.75vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.72George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.75Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 9.6% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 19.2% |
| Jack Fisher | 12.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.8% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 21.3% | 21.7% | 15.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 38.9% | 26.5% | 19.1% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Madeleine Rice | 21.8% | 19.7% | 21.8% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.