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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.74vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.88-1.97vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.76George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
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3.78Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.6% | 26.1% | 18.5% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.0% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 18.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 20.6% | 36.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.8% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.4% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.