← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.71vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.40+0.73vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.59+0.76vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.44+0.11vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.20vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71U. S. Naval Academy2.6027.0%1st Place
-
2.73Georgetown University2.4025.6%1st Place
-
3.76Old Dominion University1.5912.3%1st Place
-
4.11George Washington University1.449.1%1st Place
-
4.8Christopher Newport University0.734.5%1st Place
-
2.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5721.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 27.0% | 22.1% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.6% | 25.7% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 22.3% | 16.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 25.7% | 23.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 20.3% | 47.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 21.5% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.