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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.40vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.30+0.75vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.22vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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3.75George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.9Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.2% | 28.2% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 37.1% |
| Jack Fisher | 12.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 16.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 12.5% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 21.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.2% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.