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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.45vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.27vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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3.73George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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3.89Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.0% | 27.7% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.2% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 18.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 37.5% |
| Jack Fisher | 12.8% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 16.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 20.9% |
| Madeleine Rice | 19.7% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.