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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+1.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.76vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+0.78vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.30-0.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.4%1st Place
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3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.78Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.75George Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Pennsylvania1.880.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 38.0% | 27.1% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 11.3% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 18.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 22.5% | 17.0% |
| Jack Fisher | 12.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 16.9% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 40.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 20.5% | 23.2% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.