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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+0.39vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.62+1.40vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.35+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.31-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-0.24vs Predicted
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6Duke University-2.48-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39North Carolina State University1.650.7%1st Place
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3.4University of Miami-0.620.1%1st Place
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3.05Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Virginia-0.310.1%1st Place
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4.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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5.35Duke University-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 70.2% | 22.3% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 5.9% | 21.4% | 25.0% | 26.5% | 16.7% | 4.5% |
| Clare Wagner | 10.9% | 23.8% | 29.2% | 23.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 10.6% | 24.5% | 28.0% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 39.0% | 30.6% |
| Julia Grimes | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 23.3% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.