← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.65+0.39vs Predicted
-
2Catholic University of America-0.35+1.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia-0.310.00vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83+0.70vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-0.62-1.49vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-2.48-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.39North Carolina State University1.650.7%1st Place
-
3.06Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
-
3.0University of Virginia-0.310.1%1st Place
-
4.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
-
3.51University of Miami-0.620.1%1st Place
-
5.34Duke University-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 71.6% | 20.1% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.9% | 28.0% | 28.0% | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 10.8% | 25.3% | 29.4% | 23.1% | 9.9% | 1.5% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 38.7% | 28.2% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 6.4% | 17.9% | 23.3% | 29.4% | 16.5% | 6.5% |
| Julia Grimes | 0.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 22.4% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.