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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+0.38vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.31+1.03vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.35+0.08vs Predicted
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4Duke University-2.48+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.62-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38North Carolina State University1.650.7%1st Place
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3.03University of Virginia-0.310.1%1st Place
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3.08Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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5.28Duke University-2.480.0%1st Place
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4.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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3.43University of Miami-0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 71.2% | 21.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 9.8% | 27.8% | 26.9% | 23.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Clare Wagner | 10.1% | 24.1% | 28.0% | 25.1% | 10.9% | 1.8% |
| Julia Grimes | 0.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 24.5% | 58.9% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 38.8% | 32.6% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 6.8% | 17.7% | 25.4% | 29.4% | 16.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.