← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.65+0.39vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia-0.31+1.02vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami-0.62+0.37vs Predicted
-
4Duke University-2.48+1.31vs Predicted
-
5Catholic University of America-0.35-1.83vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.39North Carolina State University1.650.7%1st Place
-
3.02University of Virginia-0.310.1%1st Place
-
3.37University of Miami-0.620.1%1st Place
-
5.31Duke University-2.480.0%1st Place
-
3.17Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
-
4.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 70.9% | 21.0% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 9.6% | 28.7% | 26.4% | 23.0% | 10.1% | 2.2% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 8.2% | 18.1% | 25.6% | 28.1% | 16.9% | 3.1% |
| Julia Grimes | 0.6% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 21.9% | 61.1% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.8% | 24.4% | 26.5% | 24.8% | 12.0% | 3.5% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.9% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 38.9% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.