← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.65+0.59vs Predicted
-
2Duke University0.95+0.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami-0.62+0.54vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83+0.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-0.31-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.59North Carolina State University1.650.6%1st Place
-
2.11Duke University0.950.3%1st Place
-
3.54University of Miami-0.620.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
-
3.25University of Virginia-0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 56.9% | 29.4% | 11.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 27.8% | 42.3% | 21.7% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 6.0% | 11.2% | 23.9% | 40.9% | 18.0% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.5% | 2.6% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 69.6% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 7.8% | 14.5% | 34.7% | 31.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.