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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+0.58vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.95+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-0.62+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.31-0.71vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58North Carolina State University1.650.6%1st Place
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2.1Duke University0.950.3%1st Place
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3.52University of Miami-0.620.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Virginia-0.310.1%1st Place
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4.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 57.6% | 29.5% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 29.2% | 40.8% | 21.5% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 6.0% | 11.1% | 24.5% | 42.0% | 16.4% |
| Hannah Mercurio | 5.9% | 15.2% | 35.1% | 31.4% | 12.4% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.3% | 3.4% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.