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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.79vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+1.17vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59-0.20vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40-2.27vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76U. S. Naval Academy2.6024.9%1st Place
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2.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5724.4%1st Place
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4.17George Washington University1.449.0%1st Place
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3.8Old Dominion University1.5911.3%1st Place
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2.73Georgetown University2.4024.7%1st Place
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4.75Christopher Newport University0.735.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 24.9% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 3.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 24.4% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 3.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 25.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 17.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 24.7% | 23.7% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.