← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.46+0.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia-0.91+1.01vs Predicted
-
3Duke University-0.67-0.24vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-2.38-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.25North Carolina State University1.460.8%1st Place
-
3.01University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
-
2.76Duke University-0.670.1%1st Place
-
3.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
-
4.34University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 79.3% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 6.7% | 26.4% | 34.4% | 24.7% | 7.8% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 9.6% | 36.0% | 28.5% | 21.0% | 4.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.9% | 13.7% | 23.7% | 34.3% | 25.4% |
| Olivia Campmany | 1.5% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.