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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+0.27vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.67+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Miami-2.38+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.91-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.27North Carolina State University1.460.8%1st Place
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2.78Duke University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Miami-2.380.0%1st Place
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3.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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2.97University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 77.7% | 17.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 9.0% | 33.7% | 33.8% | 17.8% | 5.7% |
| Olivia Campmany | 2.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 20.8% | 60.7% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.1% | 14.0% | 21.7% | 36.0% | 25.2% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 8.2% | 28.1% | 30.5% | 24.8% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.