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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ian Street 17.6% 18.7% 17.3% 19.1% 13.1% 10.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Sara Boyd 4.5% 4.7% 8.9% 13.1% 15.0% 19.6% 20.5% 11.2% 2.5%
William Turner 33.3% 24.2% 18.3% 12.6% 8.0% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Marcom 8.5% 10.7% 12.5% 15.1% 18.4% 18.6% 10.8% 4.4% 1.0%
Ian Connolly 10.3% 14.6% 13.8% 15.0% 16.1% 14.5% 10.1% 4.8% 0.8%
Grace Beard 19.7% 20.9% 20.0% 16.0% 12.8% 6.9% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Isabel Taranto 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 1.0% 3.0% 3.9% 8.3% 18.7% 61.9%
Lauren Mellinger 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 8.5% 14.2% 25.9% 23.9% 11.9%
Ned Whitesell 2.0% 1.8% 3.7% 3.3% 5.1% 9.0% 17.8% 35.6% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.