← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University0.70+0.88vs Predicted
-
2Washington College-0.55+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.08-0.18vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.870.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-1.26-0.31vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-2.86+0.30vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-1.50-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.88George Washington University0.7048.2%1st Place
-
3.59Washington College-0.5511.6%1st Place
-
2.82Princeton University-0.0820.8%1st Place
-
4.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.878.0%1st Place
-
4.69University of Delaware-1.264.4%1st Place
-
6.3Monmouth University-2.861.2%1st Place
-
4.73Rutgers University-1.505.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tryg van Wyk | 48.2% | 28.8% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Austin Latimer | 11.6% | 16.3% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
Advik Eswaran | 20.8% | 24.9% | 23.6% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
Griffin Jones | 8.0% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 4.2% |
Ethan Deutsch | 4.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 27.8% | 11.1% |
Cheyenne Fair | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 69.0% |
Marlon Wool | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 28.2% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.