Race 1B

saisa-south-points-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefanos Pappas 16.5% 17.9% 15.9% 15.8% 14.3% 9.7% 5.7% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 35.4% 26.8% 18.2% 9.5% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Hella Kornatzki 12.4% 14.7% 15.7% 15.5% 15.1% 13.2% 7.0% 5.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Connor Teague 4.2% 4.5% 7.4% 8.8% 10.6% 12.6% 15.1% 17.8% 19.0% 0.0%
Coby Flannery 10.5% 13.0% 15.7% 13.5% 13.5% 11.5% 10.9% 8.5% 2.9% 0.0%
Griffin Pollis 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 5.3% 7.1% 8.4% 13.7% 20.7% 35.5% 0.0%
Stefanos Pappas 16.5% 17.9% 15.9% 15.8% 14.3% 9.7% 5.7% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Kai Priester 8.1% 8.6% 10.8% 13.1% 14.0% 16.2% 14.5% 9.6% 5.1% 0.0%
Brian Herbster 3.9% 5.0% 4.2% 7.1% 7.0% 11.7% 15.9% 19.1% 26.1% 0.0%
Brandon DePalma 6.6% 6.7% 8.0% 11.4% 13.1% 13.8% 16.2% 14.3% 9.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.