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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+1.08vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.51+3.68vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.85+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.39-0.89vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.00vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.85-3.65vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.69-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.66-5.31vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.88-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Eckerd College1.740.4%1st Place
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5.68Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.11University of South Florida0.390.1%1st Place
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5.0Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.9Embry-Riddle University-0.690.0%1st Place
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3.69University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 42.7% | 27.5% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.6% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.6% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Collin Lee | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 14.2% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 33.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.