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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.39+3.04vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+0.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.66+0.65vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.85-0.60vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.51-0.31vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.04vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.66-2.04vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.85-5.60vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.88-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of South Florida0.390.1%1st Place
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2.13Eckerd College1.740.4%1st Place
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3.65University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
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3.4Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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5.69Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.96Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
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5.96Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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3.4Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coby Flannery | 10.5% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 41.9% | 25.6% | 18.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 14.7% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.1% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Herbster | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 29.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.1% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 22.3% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.