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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.85+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.39+2.16vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.85+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.66-0.35vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-2.90vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.96vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.66-1.11vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.51-3.31vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.88-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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4.16University of South Florida0.390.1%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University0.850.2%1st Place
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3.65University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
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2.1Eckerd College1.740.4%1st Place
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5.04Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
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5.89Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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5.69Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.6% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 17.6% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 14.2% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 41.8% | 26.8% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Herbster | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Teague | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 22.4% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.