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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+3.59vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.67vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.97-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.24+1.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-4.19vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.01-0.87vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.61vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93-1.85vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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2.62University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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3.86University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.64University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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10.39California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.39California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.15University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.04San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Zieba | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 33.2% | 25.0% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.3% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 40.5% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.