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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.24+4.58vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.01+3.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45-2.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-4.41vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+0.45vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.55vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-5.42vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.29-3.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.93-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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5.64University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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10.45California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.45California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.99San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 33.0% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.6% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.1% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 39.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.