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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+3.76vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.97-1.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.01+3.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.58vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+1.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.24-0.28vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-6.34vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.93-0.88vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.29-3.01vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.76University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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2.64University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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10.31California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.99San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.31California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 15.9% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 32.1% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 38.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 23.0% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.