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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+3.77vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.97-5.40vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.01-0.81vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.29-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.93-0.80vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-2.68vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.24-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.77University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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2.6University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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10.32California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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9.7San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.32California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 17.1% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 30.6% | 27.2% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.