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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+1.60vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.24+4.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.40vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+2.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.86vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.01-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.93-0.84vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-9.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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6.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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9.76San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.67University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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10.44California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.44California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 33.1% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.6% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 10.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.