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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.80vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.24+2.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-3.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-3.22vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+0.46vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.01-1.94vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93-1.86vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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6.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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5.78University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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10.46California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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10.02San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.46California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 32.4% | 25.4% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.9% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.6% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.