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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.11vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.78vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.97-3.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45-1.35vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.01+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.93+2.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-5.43vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-0.80vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.24-3.13vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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5.65University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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10.2California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.2California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.03San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 15.6% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 34.6% | 24.3% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 39.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.