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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01+7.24vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.81vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-3.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-3.21vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29-0.15vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.93-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.24-3.05vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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9.24University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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3.89University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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6.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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5.79University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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9.85San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.18California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.18California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 32.5% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.0% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 11.1% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 40.6% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.