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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.01+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.97-4.39vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.82vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.24-1.34vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93-1.81vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.73University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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9.84San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.46California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.46California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 16.1% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 12.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 32.5% | 26.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 23.8% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 23.8% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.