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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.97+1.93vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.06vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-3.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.24+1.79vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.45-3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.01-0.80vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93-1.00vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-3.30vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Southern California2.970.3%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.1%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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4.74California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Washington0.010.0%1st Place
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11.32California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.0University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.7San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.32California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 30.1% | 22.7% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 14.3% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 20.6% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.