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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.59+1.02vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.55+1.52vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.08-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.26+0.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.31vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.86+0.26vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02George Washington University0.5943.1%1st Place
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3.52Washington College-0.5512.4%1st Place
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2.75Princeton University-0.0822.6%1st Place
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4.51University of Delaware-1.266.5%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7110.3%1st Place
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6.26Monmouth University-2.861.5%1st Place
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5.25Rutgers University-1.973.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Schuhwerk | 43.1% | 27.8% | 17.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 12.4% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 1.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 22.6% | 25.7% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 24.9% | 23.2% | 9.2% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 10.3% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.9% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 17.3% | 64.8% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 35.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.