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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.59+1.04vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+1.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.26+0.50vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-2.86+1.19vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.08-3.36vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04George Washington University0.5941.9%1st Place
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3.7Washington College-0.7911.0%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7111.6%1st Place
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4.5University of Delaware-1.265.3%1st Place
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6.19Monmouth University-2.861.8%1st Place
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2.64Princeton University-0.0825.2%1st Place
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5.31Rutgers University-1.973.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Schuhwerk | 41.9% | 28.3% | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 11.0% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 11.8% | 3.1% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 11.6% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 5.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 24.0% | 22.7% | 9.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 62.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 25.2% | 26.5% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 33.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.