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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.25+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.71+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.77-0.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+2.17vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.72+0.24vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+0.67vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.71-6.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.60-4.75vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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3.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.3%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Berkeley0.710.2%1st Place
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3.76University of California at Los Angeles0.770.2%1st Place
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7.17University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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8.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Berkeley0.710.2%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Washington-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zackery Martin | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 25.3% | 22.8% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 17.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Wolf | 17.5% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 17.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stier | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Adriana Yarkin | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 49.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.