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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.43+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.38+2.39vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.23+3.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.23-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-3.79vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.64vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-6.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.48-1.92vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.441.430.4%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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6.71University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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8.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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11.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Ross | 37.2% | 24.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.1% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 24.6% | 35.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 23.2% | 39.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.