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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+7.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+4.48vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.23-0.11vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.82vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.23-2.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.58vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-1.36vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.89-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.48-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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2.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.4%1st Place
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3.69University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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10.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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11.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.890.0%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 11.9% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 35.9% | 27.8% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 17.0% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason James | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 22.2% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.