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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+6.75vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+1.86vs Predicted
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31.43-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.25+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.23+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.38-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.90vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.23-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-2.48-1.11vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-1.86vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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2.451.430.4%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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11.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Martin | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.2% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 37.2% | 23.5% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 15.5% | 24.8% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 41.1% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.