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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.59+1.08vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+2.09vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.08-0.08vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.49+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.26-0.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-2.08vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.08vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.86-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08George Washington University0.5941.2%1st Place
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4.09Washington College-0.7910.3%1st Place
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2.92Princeton University-0.0821.4%1st Place
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5.12Villanova University-1.495.3%1st Place
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4.95University of Delaware-1.266.3%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7111.2%1st Place
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5.92Rutgers University-1.973.1%1st Place
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7.0Monmouth University-2.861.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Schuhwerk | 41.2% | 27.9% | 18.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 10.3% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 21.4% | 24.2% | 21.7% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Julia Gordon | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 9.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 7.9% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 30.0% | 20.3% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.