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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.43+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.38+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.23+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.23-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-0.05vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.66vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-6.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.48-1.94vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.471.430.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.58University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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5.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Ross | 36.5% | 24.7% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 15.8% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Lawall | 2.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 24.2% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 24.9% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.