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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+3.38vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43+0.44vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.53+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-1.03+1.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-1.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.03-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.48+0.63vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-5.72vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.89-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-3.20vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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2.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.4%1st Place
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3.88University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.530.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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5.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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11.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.890.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 36.7% | 25.1% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 14.1% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 23.5% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason James | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 24.8% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 23.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.