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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.58+5.59vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.38+2.40vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.43-0.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-1.03+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.53+1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.62-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.03-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-4.13vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-0.22vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-6.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.48-2.25vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.89-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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2.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.430.3%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.1%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.1%1st Place
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10.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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11.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 34.5% | 25.9% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 16.2% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 24.4% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 19.1% | 23.9% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Mason James | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 25.0% | 39.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.