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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+2.16vs Predicted
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21.43+1.07vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-1.03+5.30vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.38+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.36+1.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.53+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-3.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+2.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.25-2.68vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-4.30vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.78vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-0.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.02-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.03-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.48-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.2%1st Place
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3.071.430.3%1st Place
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5.14California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Washington0.380.1%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Santa Barbara-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Cruz-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Los Angeles-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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10.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Berkeley-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.68University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 23.8% | 23.3% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ross | 26.2% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| karl zoghbi | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Jackson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| James Guiraud | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 22.6% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.