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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.47+1.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.67+2.50vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.28-0.63vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.67+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29-1.16vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58-0.26vs Predicted
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7Washington College-1.69-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Princeton University-0.4725.7%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.678.0%1st Place
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2.37George Washington University-0.2833.2%1st Place
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4.45Rutgers University-1.678.9%1st Place
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3.84University of Delaware-1.2913.0%1st Place
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5.74Monmouth University-2.583.2%1st Place
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4.35Washington College-1.698.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 25.7% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Finnegan McCue | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 14.8% |
| Colin Bohula | 33.2% | 28.3% | 18.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Karolina Debniak | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 14.8% |
| Seton Dill | 13.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 6.3% |
| Julia Marich | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 48.9% |
| Matthew Nadolny | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.